JOSEPH CIOFFI

How Empty Is the Glass? Experience Level Is Found to Influence Sensitivity to Subprime Auto Market Deterioration and Downgrades

S&P’s recent downgrade of Class E notes from CPS Auto Receivables Trust (CPSART) 2016-B, 2016-C, 2016-D and 2017-A from BB- to B+ is prompting investors to take a closer look at other deals. It also prompted us to go back over the data from our 360 degree market study to see which constituency group will be most sensitive to the latest news.

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Subprime Auto: 2019 60-Second Market Review and Insights

Originations and Issuances, by the Numbers Total auto loan debt increased to $1.30 trillion in Q2 2019, up from last year’s $1.24 trillion, and accounted for 9.4% of the $13.86 trillion in national household debt – greater than credit card debt, but less than student loan and mortgage debt, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York data.

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Marketplace Lending: 2019 60-Second Review and Insights

ABS Issuances, by the Numbers Ten securitizations totaling $3.6 billion closed in Q1 2019, down 14% versus a year ago. PeerIQ attributed this decrease to “market volatility,” but noted this still represents the fourth-highest issuance in any quarter. Average deal size decreased to $366 million in Q1 2019, down from $0.6 billion the previous year. SoFi led the way with three deals totaling $1.5...

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Student Loans: 2019 60-Second Market Review and Insights

Originations and Issuances, by the Numbers Student loan debt stood at $1.6 trillion in Q2 2019, up from $1.53 trillion a year earlier, and now accounts for 10.7% of the $13.86 trillion in household debt, based on Federal Reserve Board of Governors and Federal Reserve Bank of New York data.

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PACE Financing: 2019 60-Second Market Review and Insights

Originations and Issuances, by the Numbers Commercial PACE (C-PACE) originations have experienced steady growth, totaling $280.8 million in 2018, up 12% from 2017. Cumulative C-PACE financing is now approaching $1 billion since the inception of the program. However, residential PACE (R-PACE) has been a mixed bag. While originations are thriving in Florida, applications for PACE loans declined...

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Residential Mortgages and RMBS: 2019 60-Second Market Review and Insights

Originations and Issuances, by the Numbers New mortgage originations reached $474 billion in Q2 2019, up from $437 billion in Q2 2018 (an 8.5% increase), according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Housing debt climbed to $9.41 trillion in Q2 2019, up from $9.00 trillion versus a year ago (an increase of 4.6%). Housing debt remains the leading source of consumer debt in the...

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Winter is Coming. Subprime Auto Participants’ Worst Fears May Come True in a Recession

The phrase “winter is coming” was more than just a motto to House Stark in “Game of Thrones.” It was both a warning and a call to vigilance – the honor in readiness and preparation that was the key to victory. Subprime ABS participants should heed that call. With uncertainty swirling about the economy, even the most sure-footed optimist should be concerned for what lies beyond the seemingly safe...

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