To be a victim or creditor, that is the question. Whether ‘tis better to remain silent and suffer the outrageous fortune of a hacked exchange receiving $6 billion in restitution as the alleged sole victim of the hack, or take arms against that sea of trouble and by opposing end the exchange’s bid for a windfall? Just as Marcellus of Hamlet knew there was something rotten in the state of Denmark,...
What do you get when you add post-election uncertainty to pre-election “economic contradictions?” Many see trouble on the way, but after a period of mixed data and projections concerning interest rates, consumer spending and borrowing, and of course, election results, the months ahead promise to bring some clarity to subprime auto. Below is a review of recent performance and anticipated events on...
Davis+Gilbert’s Subprime Auto Loan Risk Chronometer has not signaled significant market risk for some time, but new litigation has commenced that is of the type that had been anticipated and may be an indication of what is to come if the labor market deteriorates further and contributes to weaker performance. In litigation recently filed in federal court in California, a group of noteholders in a...
Though cannabis’ status as a Schedule 1 controlled substance has hampered the industry’s ability to fully integrate into the digitally dominated payment world, with credit card issuers refusing to process cannabis transactions, cannabis businesses have historically been able to enjoy similar benefits of efficiency, convenience, and security with debit cards. However, MasterCard’s recent ban on...
“The market is resilient” was the mantra throughout the pandemic. Now that the Federal Reserve is at an inflection point on interest rate hikes and the pause on student loan payments is set to end after three years of relief, “the market is vulnerable” may be a more appropriate refrain. In fact, the cracks have started to show, particularly in subprime auto ABS.
An inescapable result of high interest rates and post-pandemic trends is downward pressure on commercial real estate valuations, especially in the office sector. Given commercial mortgage-backed securities and other deal structures in which control of the loan rests with the lowest priority interest that is in the money, reduced valuations will likely become the flashpoint for CRE litigation.
Commercial real estate (CRE) sectors have not escaped the perma-crisis era in which we live, and the worst appears yet to come. First, hospitality and retail suffered setbacks with pandemic lockdowns. Then, the persistence of work-from-home and employee resistance to returning to the office drastically changed the flow of workers to the office and urban centers. Now, before those issues are...
